Kettner /instaar/ en Extreme floods, like those caused by Hurricane Helene, are becoming more frequent /instaar/2024/10/09/extreme-floods-those-caused-hurricane-helene-are-becoming-more-frequent Extreme floods, like those caused by Hurricane Helene, are becoming more frequent Anonymous (not verified) Wed, 10/09/2024 - 11:12 Categories: Research Tags: Kettner Gabe Allen

Late last month, . Devastating floods hit communities in the Gulf Coast and Southern Appalachia. The storm .


As relief efforts begin to put the pieces back together, many . Was this unprecedented storm a freak occurrence or a new precedent?

Albert Kettner is the associate director of INSTAAR and the director of the DFO Flood Observatory (formerly the Dartmouth Flood Observatory). Since he took over the observatory in 2019, . His observations are built on the foundations laid by INSTAAR Senior Research Scientist Robert Brakenridge, who founded the observatory in 1993.

According to Kettner’s data, extreme floods like the ones that hit Appalachia last month have become more common in the 21st century. 

Number of large and extreme floods on an annual basis from 1985 to 2020 (Credit: Robert Brakenridge). For comparison, the Appalachia floods caused by Hurricane Helene in 2024 were in the extreme category. Flood magnitude =LOG(Duration x Severity x Affected Area). The graph is based on data from the DFO Flood Observatory, accessible at https://floodobservatory.colorado.edu/Archives/.

 

It’s not the case that the world is getting wetter, in fact many places are becoming more arid. Rather, really big floods, which were previously rare, are happening more often. 

According to Kettner, the reasons behind this are hard to parse out. In some cases, it could be that warmer air temperatures allow the atmosphere to hold more moisture. In other cases, extreme flooding might be driven by urban infrastructure that lacks adequate drainage. Most of the underlying causes of catastrophic floods boil down to two categories: climate change and human changes to the landscape.

“Flooding is both a derivative of precipitation and the area where that precipitation is landing,” Kettner explained. 

, so too will patterns of extreme weather. Amidst this uncertainty, tools like the DFO Flood Observatory can also help humanity better respond to natural disasters. Kettner has leveraged his expertise in flood tracking to create inundation maps for the in the past. He hopes to foster more collaboration between aid organizations and the observatory in the future. 


If you have questions about this story, or would like to reach out to INSTAAR for further comment, you can contact Senior Communications Specialist Gabe Allen at gabriel.allen@colorado.edu.

 

Have the norms of extreme weather in America changed? DFO Flood Observatory director Albert Kettner explains that catastrophic floods have become more common in the 21st century. The reasons behind this shift are complex — invoking climate change, urban infrastructure and human impacts on ecosystems and landscapes.

Off

Traditional 0 On White Photo: Devastation in Asheville NC after Hurricane Helene. Bill McMannis, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons ]]>
Wed, 09 Oct 2024 17:12:08 +0000 Anonymous 1570 at /instaar
Albert Kettner steps into INSTAAR acting director role /instaar/2023/07/18/albert-kettner-steps-instaar-acting-director-role Albert Kettner steps into INSTAAR acting director role Anonymous (not verified) Tue, 07/18/2023 - 15:52 Categories: Community Spotlight Faculty Fellow Tags: Kettner

Albert Kettner

Albert Kettner, associate research professor and associate director of INSTAAR, has stepped into the role of acting director of INSTAAR as of July 10.

Kettner will provide leadership as our previous director, Merritt Turetsky, returns to faculty to focus on her research, teaching, and public engagement.

Turetsky’s dedication and guidance as director of INSTAAR have been instrumental in steering the institute through challenging times, including the unprecedented difficulties posed by the pandemic. Her unwavering commitment to promoting equity and inclusion within the institute has been instrumental in making positive change.

The Research & Innovation Office will be coordinating with INSTAAR leadership to guide the process to appoint an interim and then a permanent director.

 

Albert Kettner, associate research professor and associate director of INSTAAR, has stepped into the role of acting director of INSTAAR as of July 10.

Off

Traditional 0 On White ]]>
Tue, 18 Jul 2023 21:52:09 +0000 Anonymous 1403 at /instaar
CU Boulder team granted $2.56M to transform Earth surface science (CIRES) /instaar/2021/12/07/cu-boulder-team-granted-256m-transform-earth-surface-science-cires CU Boulder team granted $2.56M to transform Earth surface science (CIRES) Anonymous (not verified) Tue, 12/07/2021 - 00:00 Categories: Research Tags: Hutton Kettner Overeem Piper The National Science Foundation has awarded a highly competitive grant to a team of scientists building OpenEarthScape, a set of models and simulations to help anticipate changes in river flow, beach erosion, landslides and more. The $2.56M grant will support five years of work by earth surface scientists, including modelers, who are determined to better understand the forces that re-shape our landscapes over hours to epochs. Eric Hutton, Albert Kettner, Irina Overeem, Mark Piper are co-PIs on the grant. window.location.href = `https://cires.colorado.edu/news/cu-boulder-team-granted-256m-transform-earth-surface-science`;

Off

Traditional 0 On White ]]>
Tue, 07 Dec 2021 07:00:00 +0000 Anonymous 583 at /instaar
Study finds global surge of flood exposure is from population shifts far more than climate change (Sustain What) /instaar/2021/08/06/study-finds-global-surge-flood-exposure-population-shifts-far-more-climate-change-sustain Study finds global surge of flood exposure is from population shifts far more than climate change (Sustain What) Anonymous (not verified) Fri, 08/06/2021 - 00:00 Categories: Research Tags: Brakenridge Kettner Too often, rising climate risk is conflated with rising CO2. That takes the heat off national and local leaders who can cut drivers of risk on the ground now. Andy Revkin collects in-depth perspective from scientists and others on the global risk of flooding, the inequities and policies that are driving up that risk, and what we can do to manage it. Revkin cites work that involved Albert Kettner and Bob Brakenridge of the DFO Flood Observatory. window.location.href = `https://news.climate.columbia.edu/2021/08/06/risks-and-choices-as-populations-surge-in-flood-zones-rich-and-poor/`;

Off

Traditional 0 On White ]]>
Fri, 06 Aug 2021 06:00:00 +0000 Anonymous 669 at /instaar
New global map shows populations are growing faster in flood-prone areas (MIT Technology Review) /instaar/2021/08/05/new-global-map-shows-populations-are-growing-faster-flood-prone-areas-mit-technology New global map shows populations are growing faster in flood-prone areas (MIT Technology Review) Anonymous (not verified) Thu, 08/05/2021 - 00:00 Categories: Research Tags: Brakenridge Kettner Satellite imagery reveals how floods are changing and who’s most at risk. A new global floods database involved Bob Brakenridge and Albert Kettner of the DFO Flood Observatory. window.location.href = `https://www.technologyreview.com/2021/08/04/1030533/population-climate-flood-risk/`;

Off

Traditional 0 On White ]]>
Thu, 05 Aug 2021 06:00:00 +0000 Anonymous 673 at /instaar